How to avoid some of the credit card traps

By Noel Whittaker | 15 March 2019

See why credit cards can create issues for travelers, families and retirees alike.

Love them or hate them, the fact remains that credit cards are a necessity for most people.

You can hardly book accommodation, airfares or a rental car without them and they take the worry out of carrying cash when you shop. Still, you still need to be aware of the traps.

A classic is having just one credit card when you are travelling and finding it blocked when the hotel demands you hand it over at check-in, to guarantee any purchases you may make while you are staying there.

Another major problem is supplementary cards.

To save on fees, many families have one main credit card, with the partner and other family members using supplementary cards.

Unfortunately, with many cards, all associated cards are blocked as soon as one of the cards becomes lost or stolen. This can be particularly embarrassing if you’re travelling overseas.

Obviously, the solution is for couples to have individual credit cards but, as a recent email from a reader points out, it is becoming increasingly difficult for retirees to qualify for a credit card.

She wrote: “My husband and I have had a 40-year association with a major bank, have paid off numerous loans, and have a history of never missing a payment.

We are 62 and 73 and are self-funded retirees with substantial assets.

After reading your articles, I decided to apply for a credit card in my own name, which has to be done online. It was declined by the bank’s computer on the grounds I had no taxable income.

I can’t see the logic of this, and am concerned that my 40 years’ loyalty with the bank appears to count for nothing.

The bank’s decision makes me feel discriminated against — both as a married woman and a grandmother. Do you have any ideas how I can overcome this absurdity?”

I telephoned the bank on her behalf and spoke to one of their senior people, who promised to look into it. Within five days I received an excited email from the reader telling me that a credit card in her own name had been approved. She was over the moon!

I phoned the executive I’d been dealing with to relay the good news and asked him the obvious question: what is the mechanism for a person in her situation to get a credit card?

There is a Plan B

It’s ridiculous to expect that the only way for a card to be approved is for somebody in the media to bring it to the bank’s notice.

To his credit, he was most helpful. He suggested that the first line of attack should be to go to a bank branch, talk to a staff member face-to-face, and make sure all details of the conversation are recorded.

In most cases, this should solve the problem. But if it doesn’t, he also suggested a Plan B.

Apparently, all the major banks have an Advocate, whose job is to handle matters such as this for aggrieved customers.

Seek the help of the Advocate

Anybody who feels they have been badly treated can contact the Advocate, who will investigate the case and help the customer achieve an outcome that works for both parties.

I must confess that this is a term which is new to me but if you do a web search you will find every bank’s Advocate is clearly shown.

I guess it’s good to know that in this age of computers we still have a human avenue of appeal if needed.

 

This article was originally published by The Sydney Morning Herald on 3 February 2019. It represents the views of the author only and does not necessarily reflect the views of Tailored Lifetime Solutions.

5 REASONS WHY SMALL BUSINESSES FAIL

By Flying Solo contributor John Refalo

For many people starting a business is a dream but, at the same time, a significant risk when not done properly.

While we see a number of clients citing issues with the Tax Office as the catalyst for problems that upend them, there’s many reasons why a business can fail.

Let’s now explore what I believe are the five most common reasons why businesses fail.

1. YOU HAD POOR PLANNING

We may be sick of that saying “Businesses don’t plan to fail, they fail to plan” but this rings true. This is why we need a business plan—a good start is the template found on www.business.gov.au. To summarise quickly, a business plan is a document that goes through every aspect of your business, from establishing your vision and mission statement, to industry analysis and all the way to specifics like budgeting, employees, and expenses.

Spending adequate time creating a business plan will give you complete understanding of your business. You may be reading this now thinking “I am the owner … of course I know my business”. That may be true but a business plan forces you to:

  • Consider your capital requirements;
  • Define the direction that your business is going to take (vision, mission statement);
  • Examine how your business is perceived in the market (quality, cost);
  • Consider how you set yourself apart from your competitors (unique attributes);
  • Deal with current and future threats to your business;
  • Manage your income and expenses through budgeting;
  • Consider finance arrangements to fund your part or all of your business;
  • Consider opportunities in the industry/economy; and
  • Define the employees’ roles and who is responsible for helping you achieve your direction.

This document is so important that even the banks require it when providing finance!

And while it’s up to you if you adopt one to this extent, or at all, spending some time looking at this (at least once a year) will hopefully change your focus on the ‘what’ you do in business to ‘why’ and ‘how’ you do business.

2. YOU FAILED TO BUDGET

Simply put, a budget will quickly tell you if you should be in business or not. It maps out your income and expenditure over a period of time which is especially crucial for those businesses that have cyclical or seasonal fluctuations (i.e. hospitality, agriculture, etc). By estimating the amount of revenue, or the peak periods when revenue is generated, businesses can see how much revenue is needed to keep the business alive during the slower months. On the flip side, focus on expenses is just as important (paying employees, meeting financial obligations, paying taxes) because it highlights what a business can afford.

3. YOU FORGOT TO COLLECT YOUR CASH!

Unless you are a ‘Not-for-Profit’, you are in business to make money. So when you complete a job, you expect to be paid for it … right?

These days, a lot of businesses operate on credit terms – sometimes necessary to secure customers. But when payment is due, a number of businesses are not doing enough, if anything, when collecting their debts!

I recently worked on the administration of a plumber that had a majority of ‘mum and dad’ customers on credit terms on its books accounting for $60,000 which was overdue. Had the owner followed up his customers and collected this amount, a lot of his short-term cash flow problems  could have reduced.

4.  YOU TOOK (A BIG) WAGE

Business owners usually have a lot of sentimental attachment to their business, and for good reason. Some people pour their blood, sweat and tears into it. It’s for this reason that some business owners will use their business’ money as if it was their personal bank account.

This can have pretty serious consequences. For example I have seen businesses been used to pay for personal holidays, lavish lifestyles, mistresses, mortgage repayments and even a burial plot!

Diverting money from the business’ needs and focusing it on your own, limits the money available to grow your business, let alone to trade it! So next time, take a (reasonable) wage and once it hits your bank account, do whatever you want. We will revisit the seriousness of these personal transactions using a business’ funds in a future article.

5.  YOU DIDN’T SET YOUR PRICE APPROPRIATELY

A tricky question for business owners is: how can I price my product or service so I cover my costs but at the same time stay competitive? This is important because properly pricing your product or service determines how much profit you can make.

Specific budgets can help here on project-focused work where materials and labour are estimated, a percentage of meeting overheads (those costs not directly attributable to the job), provisions, and then applying a margin (a formal way of saying “the cream on top”).

If business owners take the time to price appropriately, they can see where their costs are being incurred and, more importantly, if they are undercutting themselves. There is no shame in walking away from a job because it is not profitable.

While there are many other issues that can be attributable to business failure, the above issues are what I believe are common for business owners, especially those starting out.

 

About Tailored Lifetime Solutions:

At Tailored Lifetime Solutions we pride ourselves on staying true to our core values of:

  • Genuine Care
  • Keeping it simple and
  • Providing Security and Peace of Mind.

Tailored Lifetime Solutions has been helping Australians secure their Financial future for over 18 years. We understand each of our clients is unique and as such require tailored financial advice to meet their needs. We work to partner our clients on their financial journey, to ensure financial fitness throughout life’s various stages and secure your future financial security.

With over 70 years of financial planning experience between us, our areas of advice include:

  • Wealth creation
  • Lending and mortgage broking
  • Superannuation advice
  • Self managed superannuation funds
  • Aged Care advice
  • Lifestyle financial planning

Providing quality financial advice in Balwyn and the Eastern Suburbs for almost 20 years.

Important information

This information is general information only and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important to consider your particular circumstances before deciding what’s right for you. Read our Financial Services Guide for information about our services, including the fees and other benefits that AMP companies and their representatives may receive in relation to products and services provided to you.

Although the information is from sources considered reliable, AMP does not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. You should not rely upon it and should seek qualified advice before making any financial decision. Except where liability under any statute cannot be excluded, AMP does not accept any liability (whether under contract, tort or otherwise) for any resulting loss or damage of the reader or any other person.

Source :Flying Solo  February 2019

This article by John Refalo is reproduced with the permission of Flying Solo – Australia’s micro business community.

 

Why I still love dividends and you should love them too

By Dr Shane Oliver – Head of Investment Strategy and Economics and Chief Economist, AMP Capital | 4 Mar 2019

Key points

  • Dividends are great for investors. They augur well for earnings growth, provide a degree of security in uncertain times, are likely to comprise a relatively high proportion of returns going forward and provide a relatively stable source of income.
  • Including reinvested dividends, the Australian share market has surpassed its 2007 record high.
  • It’s important that dividend imputation is not weakened in Australia to ensure dividends are not taxed twice.

Introduction

Prior to the 1960s most share investors were long-term investors who bought stocks for their dividend income. Investors then started to focus more on capital growth as bond yields rose relative to dividend yields on the back of rising inflation. However, thanks to an increased focus on investment income as baby boomers retire, interest in dividends has returned. This is a good thing because dividends are good for investors in more ways than just the income they provide.

Australian companies pay out a high proportion of earnings as dividends. This is currently around 65% compared to around 45% for global shares. However, some argue that dividends don’t matter – as investors should be indifferent as to whether a company pays a dividend or retains earnings that are reinvested to drive growth. Or worse still, some argue that high dividend pay outs are a sign of poor long-term growth prospects, that they are distraction from business investment or that they are often not sustainable. And of course, some just see dividends as boring relative to speculating on moves in share values. My assessment is far more favourable.

Seven reasons why dividends are cool

First, dividends do matter in terms of returns from shares. For the US share market, it has been found that higher dividend payouts lead to higher earnings growth1. This is illustrated in the next chart, which shows that for the period since 1946 when US companies paid out a high proportion of earnings as dividends (the horizontal axis) this has tended to be associated with higher growth in profits (after inflation) over the subsequent 10 years (vertical axis). And higher profit growth drives higher returns from shares. So dividends do matter and the higher the better (within reason). There are several reasons why this is the case: when companies retain a high proportion of earnings there is a tendency for poor hubris driven investments; high dividend payouts are indicative of corporate confidence about future earnings; and high payouts indicate earnings are real.

Source: Global Financial Data, Thomson Reuters, AMP Capital

Second, dividends provide a stable contribution to the total return from shares, compared to the year-to-year volatility in capital gains. Of the 11.7% pa total return from Australian shares since 1900, just over half has been from dividends.

Source: Global Financial Data, AMP Capital Investors

Third, the flow of dividend income from a well-diversified pool of companies is relatively smooth. As can be seen below, dividends move in line with earnings but are smoother.

Source: Thomson Reuters, RBA, AMP Capital

Companies like to manage dividend expectations smoothly. They rarely raise the level of dividends if they think it will be unsustainable. Sure, some companies do cut their dividends at times, but the key is to have a well-diversified portfolio of sustainable and decent dividend paying shares.

Fourth, investor demand for stocks paying decent dividends will be supported as the ranks of retirees swell.

Fifth, with the scope for capital growth from shares diminished thanks to relatively high price to earnings ratios compared to say 40 years ago, dividends will comprise a much higher proportion of total equity returns. More than half of the total medium-term return from Australian shares is likely to come from dividends, once allowance is made for franking credits.

Sixth, dividends provide good income. Grossed up for franking credits the annual income flow from dividends on Australian shares is around 5.7%. That’s $5700 a year on a $100,000 investment in shares compared to $2150 a year in term deposits (assuming a term deposit rate of 2.15%).

Source: Bloomberg, RBA, AMP Capital

Finally, while Australian shares are still 10% below their 2007 high, once reinvested dividends are allowed for (ie looking at the ASX 200 accumulation index) the market is well above it.

Source: Bloomberg, AMP Capital

Another way to look at dividend income

How powerful investing for dividend income can be relative to investing for income from interest is illustrated in the next chart. It compares initial $100,000 investments in Australian shares and one-year term deposits in December 1979.

Source: RBA, Bloomberg, AMP Capital

The term deposit would still be worth $100,000 (red line) and last year would have paid $2,200 in interest (red bars). By contrast the $100,000 invested in shares would have grown to $1,111,435 as at December last year (blue line) and would have paid $47,792 in dividends last year (blue bars). Or around $62,240 if franking credits are allowed for. Over time an investment in shares can rise but a term deposit is fixed.

But don’t dividends crimp capex?

This issue has been wheeled out repeatedly since the GFC. But it’s ridiculous. First the rise in dividends this decade has mainly come from cashed up miners and it’s hard to argue they should invest more after the mining investment boom. Second the dividend payout ratio is not high historically. Third the reasons for poor business investment lie in: business sector caution after the GFC & the rise in the $A above parity, which squeezed competitiveness; the fall back to more normal levels in mining investment; and the shift to a capital lite economy based around IT and services. Don’t blame dividends for poor capex.

Source: Thomson Reuters, RBA, AMP Capital

Why dividend imputation is so important

Dividend imputation was introduced in the 1980s and allows Australians to claim a credit against their tax liability for tax already paid on their dividends in the hands of companies as profits and boosts the effective dividend yield on Australian shares by around 1.3 percentage points. However, over the years it has been subject to claims that it creates a bias to invest in domestic equities, that it biases companies to pay dividends and not invest and that it benefits the rich. This is all nonsensical as dividend imputation simply corrects a bias by removing the double taxation of company earnings – once in the hands of companies and again in the hands of investors. The removal of dividend imputation would not only reintroduce a bias against equities but would also substantially cut into the retirement savings and income of Australians, discourage savings and lead to lower returns from Australian shares.

Labor’s proposal to make franking credits in excess of a taxpayer’s tax liability non-refundable could be argued to remove an anomaly in the tax system as dividend imputation was designed to prevent the double taxation of dividends, not to stop them being taxed at all. But a problem is that many Australians have planned their retirement around receiving such refunds. This is a subject for another note. But it is worth noting that Labor’s proposal does not affect at least 92% of taxpayers who will continue receiving franking credits as they have a sufficient income tax liability (as will pensioners who will be exempted). If it sets off a broader wind back of franking credits, then it would be a bigger concern.

Concluding comments

Dividends provide a great contribution to returns, a degree of protection during bear markets and a great income flow. For investors needing income the trick is to have a well-diversified portfolio of companies paying high sustainable dividends.

Putting superannuation on your list of resolutions for 2019

By Bianca Hartge-Hazelman | 27 Feb 2019

What’s a resolution you’ve made for 2019? Put sorting superannuation on your list to boost your retirement savings this year

If closing the retirement savings gap in superannuation is high on your New Year’s resolution list, then there are probably a good dozen or so things that you could be doing better in 2019.

But the big question is, how many of you will do any of them?

It’s often said that most resolutions die hard and fast in the first few months of the year, which means that any extra wealth you could be adding to your nest egg, could go kaput too.

Questions to ask your employer about superannuation

If you want to build your retirement savings, here are three things to ask your current, or even prospective employers on superannuation.

  1. Does your employer pay more than the compulsory Super Guarantee (SG)? (Standard is 9.5%)
  2. Do they pay superannuation on paid or unpaid parental leave?
  3. Is there an opportunity to link performance bonuses with additional employer super contributions?

Time for women—and men—to engage with their super

As the latest Financy Women’s Index for the December quarter showed, women retire with about 34% less, on average, in superannuation savings than men.

This shortfall is primarily due to women taking career breaks to be the primary carer of children.

Of course there’s more to it, such as women tending to earn less than men and working part-time.

But it’s not just women facing a superannuation shortage and a common link is engagement – or lack thereof.

Consider these questions in your 2019 superannuation “how engaged are you” review:

  • What’s your superannuation balance and do you have multiple accounts?
  • How much are you paying in fees?
  • Are you paying for appropriate insurance cover to protect you from adverse events?
  • When did you last check if your investment choice was actually right for you?
  • Have you kept your beneficiaries up to date?
  • Have you ever topped up your super or considered salary sacrificing?
  • Did you know that you may now be able to claim a tax deduction for your personal superannuation contributions?
  • Are you eligible for a Government Co-contribution?
  • And do you know how much you need or want to retire on?

The ASFA Retirement Standard December 2018 quarter figures indicate that many of us won’t have enough in superannuation to retire comfortably.

The average couple aged around 65 needs $60,977 per year and singles need $43,3171.

That means if you hope to live a good 20 years in retirement, what’s needed is around $1 million with or without a partner.

Most of us aren’t even close to that amount. The latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics on gender balances in super, from the 2016 financial year, shows, that the average balance for those aged 15 and over was $101,700 for women, compared to $153,000 for men2.

Such statistics are often cited in the hope of sparking a call to action that not only gets us more engaged with our superannuation but also gets us thinking about how they can build their own retirement wealth.

How to take advantage of super rule changes

For those who want to take action now, here are some of the measures introduced or which took effect in 2018 that have the potential to significantly boost your superannuation savings.

  • From July 2018, a new measure allows unused concessional super contributions to be accumulated over five years. While the annual limit on concessional contributions is $25,000, individuals can make use of up to five years of previously unused contributions, provided the individual’s total super balance is less than $500,000. This measure is expected to really help women returning to the workforce after taking time off to have children, giving them the ability to ‘catch-up’ on super by making higher concessional contributions without breaching the annual cap.
  • 2018 was also the first calendar year that women could unlock the extended spouse contribution tax offset. This tax offset could become available to the higher earning partner in a relationship if they make super contributions on behalf of their lower earning partner, as long as the lower earner has an income below $40,000. The full tax offset will now be available where the lower earning partner has an income of $37,000, an increase from the previous $10,800.
  • Women in retirement who need to boost their super may also benefit from the downsizing into superannuation rule change that took effect in July 2018. This makes it possible under certain conditions for over 65s to top up their super by up to $300,000 by using the proceeds from the sale of their home.

So there are options available that could help you reconnect with and build on your superannuation in 2019. But it’s a good idea to seek advice to see which options suit your individual circumstances.

All that’s needed is for you to make a start.

6 things to avoid as a newbie investor

Whatever your age, if you’re thinking of dabbling in investments like shares, managed funds or cryptocurrencies, here are a few things to steer clear of.

You might be looking to invest your money in something (whether it be shares, manage funds or cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin) for a variety of reasons.

You may have money in savings and property, and want to diversify, or you might simply be looking to invest in something affordable, should investing in things like real estate be a bit out of your reach.

If your goal is to get rich quick (wouldn’t that be nice), spoiler alert – that’s probably not going to happen, as more often than not things like time in the market, compound interest and avoiding unnecessary risk will be the keys to success (I know, sorry to burst your bubble).

Meanwhile, if you are very close to dipping your toe in the water, here’s a list of common mistakes newbie investors tend to make which are generally worth steering clear of.

Investment mistakes beginners make

1. They fail to plan

When looking to invest, it’s generally wise to think about:

  • your current position and how much you can realistically afford to invest (consider what other financial priorities you have or existing debts you may be paying off?)
  • your goals and when you want to achieve them
  • implications for the short/medium and long term
  • whether you understand what you’re actually investing in
  • whether you know how to track performance and make adjustments
  • if you want to invest yourself, or with the help of a broker or adviser.

2. They don’t know their risk tolerance

As a general rule, investments that carry more risk are better suited to long-term timeframes, as investment performance can change rapidly and unpredictably. However, being too conservative with your investments may make it harder for you to reach your financial goals.

  • Low-risk (or conservative) investment options tend to have lower returns over the long term but can be less likely to lose you money if markets perform badly.
  • Medium-risk (or balanced) investment options tend to contain a mix of both low and high-risk assets. These options could be suitable for someone who wants to see their investments grow over time but is still wary of risk.
  • High-growth (or aggressive) investment options tend to provide higher returns over the long term but can experience significant losses during market downturns. These types of investments are generally better suited to investors with longer term horizons who can wait out volatile economic cycles.

Try our ‘What style of investor am I?’ tool to help understand what level of risk you might be comfortable with.

3. They think investment returns are always guaranteed

The idea of guaranteed returns sounds wonderful, but the truth when it comes to investing is returns are generally not guaranteed.

There are risks attached to investing, which means while you could make money, you might break even, or even lose money should your investments decrease in value.

On top of that, liquidity, which refers to how quickly your assets can be converted into cash, may be an issue. Depending on what type of investment you hold or what may happen in markets at any point in time, you mightn’t be able to cash in certain investments when you need to.

4. They put all their eggs in one basket

Investment diversification can be achieved by investing in a mix of:

  • asset classes (cash, fixed interest, bonds, property and shares)
  • industries (e.g. finance, mining, health care)
  • markets (e.g. Australia, Asia, the United States).

The reason diversifying may be a good thing is it could help you to level out volatility and risk, as you may be less exposed to a single financial event.

5. They believe the opinions of every Tom, Dick and Harry

Changing your strategy on the basis of market news may or may not be a good idea. After all, people have made all sorts of market predictions over the years, all of which haven’t necessarily come true.

On top of that, we all have that one friend that likes to pretend they’re a property, share or general investment guru, who while may come across as persuasive in their market commentary, does not have the qualifications to be giving people advice.

With that in mind, if you’re looking for guidance, you’re probably better off consulting your financial adviser who may be able to give you a more well-rounded picture of the current climate and the potential advantages and disadvantages you should be across.

6. They make rash decisions based on fear or excitement

Many investors get caught up in media hype and or fear and buy or sell investments at the top and bottom of the market.

Like with anything in life, it is easy to get stressed and concerned about the future and act impulsively but like with other things this may not be a smart thing to do.

While there may be times when active and emotional investing could be profitable, generally a solid strategy and staying on course through market peaks and troughs will result in more positive returns.

So you cancelled a direct debit but you’re still being charged

cancel a direct debit stop a direct debit

How to follow the correct process to ensure direct debit payments stop

Direct debits can certainly be a convenient way to pay your bills. You don’t have to worry about forgetting to pay by the due date – although you do have to remember to have money in your account – and some providers will even offer you discounts for using direct debit.

Problems can arise, though, when it is time to cancel your direct debit. Maybe you have switched energy providers or maybe you’re sick of paying for a gym membership you no longer use. Whatever the reason, you are well within your rights to stop the direct debit but sometimes it might be easier said than done.

The process will be different depending on whether the payment is coming out of your bank account or out of your debit or credit card.

Most institutions refer to the first as a direct debit but the latter as a recurring payment.

Keep in mind that even though a debit card is linked to your bank account, if you have used the numbers listed on the front of the card rather than the BSB and account number it will be treated like a credit card payment.

If you want to stop a direct debit from your bank account you need to contact your financial institution. You can do this over the phone but making the request in writing is probably a good idea. You can find a sample letter at moneysmart.gov.au or consumeraction.org.au.

As a courtesy, you can tell the merchant that the direct debit has been cancelled and this may make the process even quicker. Make sure you aren’t breaching your contract, though.

The Consumer Action Law Centre warns that stopping payments under a contract without lawful grounds may result in a debt being owed and suggests you seek advice if you are unsure.

Contact the bank a few days later to make sure it has cancelled the direct debit and also keep an eye on your statement. If a payment comes out after you have requested the cancellation, make a complaint to your institution and it should reimburse your account.

If the regular payment is coming out of your debit or credit card, then you must write a letter to the service provider to request that the payments stop. This time it’s up to the merchant to cancel the payments rather than the bank or credit union.

You should still send a letter to your financial institution and include a copy of the letter you sent to the service provider. Again you can find sample letters online.

A few days after you have sent the letter it’s a good idea to call the service provider to make sure it has received your request and acted on it.

If a payment still comes out after you requested the cancellation, then contact your credit card provider as soon as possible to dispute the transaction and it should arrange a charge-back.

Swans, bunnies and rhinos – economic terminology explained

By Nader Naeimi
Head of Dynamic Markets and Portfolio Manager of Dynamic Markets FundSydney, Australia

In a recent address to senior Chinese Communist Party officials, President Xi Jinping warned of the threat posed by “black swans” and “grey rhinos”. They are both terms that have entered popular use over the last decade to describe perceptions of risk in a market economy. But what do they – and other animal metaphors used to describe economic conditions – mean?

Black swans

The term black swan was coined by the ancient Greeks to describe an impossible event. It was used for centuries by Europeans who had only ever seen white swans. This changed when Europeans discovered Australia and saw, for the first time, black swans.

A black swan is now used to describe an event which is outside the realm of prior expectations, but which carries an extreme impact, and is prone to post-rationalisation in order to explain its occurrence. The terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 are often described as a typical black swan; it was unanticipated, but easily explained in hindsight, and the signals for such attacks in the future are now commonly discussed and recognised.

Grey rhinos

In contrast to the low-probability black swan, the grey rhino is a high-impact, high-probability event that for various reasons is usually ignored by investors and policy makers. It could be used to characterise problems such as climate change, debt, and economic inequality.

Why the animal names?

The use of animals as metaphors dates back to the some of the earliest human literature, with the likes of Aesop employing animal characters to explain the limitations of human reasoning. John Maynard Keynes, in his General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money, coined the term ‘animal spirits’ to describe economic decisions taken as a result of a spontaneous urge to action, rather than a rational evaluation of the consequences1.

Bulls, bears and bunnies

Today analysts continue to ascribe animal characteristics to market behaviour, most notably in reference to bull and bear markets. The most interesting theory for the origin of these terms comes from the North American bearskin trade, where ‘bear-jobbers’ would short-sell skins in the hope that prices would fall2. The term ‘bear-jobber’, later shortened to ‘bear’, found its way to the stock market, and a ‘bear’s market’ became common terminology for a falling market. According to this explanation, the term ‘bull’ was added later.

More recently, the zoo has expanded to include gummy bears (bear markets which satisfy technical definitions but which return to pre-bear levels within a year) and grizzly bears (where falls are much deeper and last much longer, as in the global financial crisis).

In my experience, the progression through both bull and bear markets can be characterised by a number of stages:

The three stages of a bull market:

  1. A few forward-looking people begin to believe things will improve or get less bad.
  2. Most investors realise improvement is actually taking place.
  3. Everyone concludes things will get better forever.

The three stages of a bear market:

  1. Just a few investors recognise that despite the prevailing bullishness, things won’t always be rosy.
  2.  Most investors recognise things are deteriorating.
  3. Everyone’s convinced things can only get worse.

The final, and perhaps least-known, member of the menagerie is the bunny market, the meaning of which should be immediately obvious: it’s a market which hops up and down but doesn’t really go anywhere.

7 tips to improve your financial health

With financial stress impacting one in five Aussie workers, see what steps you could take to improve your financial wellbeing.

Some days you might feel confident you can meet your needs within the boundaries of your current income, whereas other days you may feel like you don’t have nearly enough funds in order to do so.

The truth is, you’re not alone. Nearly 2.5 million Aussies say they feel moderately to severely financially stressed, even though financial stress has been decreasing year-on-year in Australia1.

If you’re interested to know more, we take a look at some of the findings that came out of AMP’s 2018 Financial Wellness in the Australian Workplace Report, in addition to what steps you could put in place to potentially improve your financial position and wellbeing.

Findings from the 2018 financial wellness report

Some of the figures that came out of the report revealed the following2:

  • The number of Aussie employees feeling financially stressed across the board in 2018 was 19%, down from 22% in 2016.
  • In comparison to 2014 research, Aussies also indicated they had greater disposable income than in years gone by and were spending more money.
  • Research participants in 2018 also said they felt more confident in dealing with financial matters and with their own levels of financial understanding.
  • Compared to two years ago, fewer people said they were engaging in negative financial behaviours, such as making late repayments on bills and credit cards. At the same time however, there was a decline in positive financial behaviours, such as people making additional repayments on mortgages and putting aside savings for a rainy day.
  • Of those working Aussies that did indicate that they were financially stressed, this was being felt across all industries, income levels and roles.

Actions that could improve your financial wellbeing

On a positive note, research identified that those who have been financially stressed in the past were often able to recover through changes to their behaviour and mindset3.

Here are some suggestions of things you could do (if you aren’t already) which may help you to improve how you feel financially.

1. Create a budget that works for you

When it comes to creating a budget, try jotting down into three categories – what money is coming in, what cash is required for the mandatory stuff (such as bills), and what dough might be left over (which you may want to put toward existing debts, savings or your social life).

Writing up a budget may take an afternoon out of your diary, but it will help you to more easily identify where there’s room for movement. For instance, could you reduce what you’re spending on luxury items, subscription or streaming services, eating out or clothing?

2. Consider rolling your debts into one

If all the small debts you once had, have multiplied and grown into bigger debts – you could look to roll them into a single loan, and reduce what you pay in fees and interest.

This could help you to save a significant amount of money (depending on what you owe) and make it easier to manage your repayments, as you’ll potentially only need to make one monthly repayment rather than having to juggle several.

The main thing to ensure is you are paying less than what you are currently when it comes to interest rates, fees and charges, and that you’re disciplined about making your repayments.

3. Try to save a bit of money regularly

Even a small amount of cash deposited on a frequent basis could go a long way toward your savings goals, with a separate research report indicating the average savings target for Aussies is a bit over $11,0004.

Some tips people said helped them along the way was transferring spare funds into an actual savings account, setting up automatic transfers to their savings account (so they didn’t have to move money manually) and putting funds into an account which they couldn’t touch5.

4. Set aside some emergency cash

With research showing that an emergency fund of between $4,000 and $5,000 is generally enough to cushion most working Aussies when it comes to unexpected expenses, it’s probably worth some thought6.

An emergency stash of cash could give you peace of mind and reduce the need to apply for high-interest borrowing options should you be faced with a busted phone, car tyre, or bad landlord or lover leaving you financially stranded.

5. Be open to talking money with your partner

One in two Aussie couples admit to arguing about money7, so if you haven’t already, it might be worth sitting down to ensure you’re on the same page and that both parties’ goals are being considered.

Understandably, it may not be the easiest topic to broach, so if you’re looking for some tips, check out our article – 10 money conversations to have with your other half.

6. See if you can get a better deal with your providers

You more than likely have several product and service providers, and figures show you could save more than a grand annually on energy alone just by switching from the highest priced plan to the most competitive on the market8.

Again, this may take a couple of hours out of your day, but the savings you could potentially make may make a real difference to what you cough up throughout the year.

7. Don’t be afraid to seek financial assistance

If you are struggling to make repayments, you may be able to seek assistance from your providers by claiming financial hardship.

All providers must consider reasonable requests to change their terms in instances where you may be suffering genuine financial difficulties and feel help would enable you to meet your repayments, possibly over a longer period.

In addition, you can talk to a financial counsellor (free of charge) at the National Debt Helpline by calling 1800 007 007

About Tailored Lifetime Solutions:

At Tailored Lifetime Solutions we pride ourselves on staying true to our core values of:

  • Genuine Care
  • Keeping it simple and
  • Providing Security and Peace of Mind.

Tailored Lifetime Solutions has been helping Australians secure their Financial future for over 18 years. We understand each of our clients is unique and as such require tailored financial advice to meet their needs. We work to partner our clients on their financial journey, to ensure financial fitness throughout life’s various stages and secure your future financial security.

With over 70 years of financial planning experience between us, our areas of advice include:

  • Wealth creation
  • Lending and mortgage broking
  • Superannuation advice
  • Self managed superannuation funds
  • Aged Care advice
  • Lifestyle financial planning

Providing quality financial advice in Balwyn and the Eastern Suburbs for almost 20 years.

Important information

This information is general information only and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important to consider your particular circumstances before deciding what’s right for you. Read our Financial Services Guide for information about our services, including the fees and other benefits that AMP companies and their representatives may receive in relation to products and services provided to you.

Although the information is from sources considered reliable, AMP does not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. You should not rely upon it and should seek qualified advice before making any financial decision. Except where liability under any statute cannot be excluded, AMP does not accept any liability (whether under contract, tort or otherwise) for any resulting loss or damage of the reader or any other person.

5 steps to help you figure out your passion

Need a new reason to get up in the morning? Enrich your life by finding and developing your next passion, with tips from psychology researcher Angela Duckworth.

Ever watch The Great British Bake-off? It’s an addictive reality TV show about the hunt for Britain’s best amateur baker. Few of the contestants cook for a living — baking is simply their passion. And it’s passion that carries them through weeks of competition and critiques, past weeping pie crusts and sad meringues. At every new challenge, they’re just excited to do what they love and to do their best.

Wouldn’t you want a passion like that?

Psychologist Angela Lee Duckworth thinks a lot about how to find and nurture a passion — it’s part of her work on what she calls “grit.” Simply defined, grit equals passion plus persistence.

Passion is not something you discover, she says — “it’s not like a lost set of keys!” Instead, she says: “Passions tend to be developed. It’s not just about being intense about what you’re doing but waking up week after week, month after month, year after year, wanting to think about the same thing.” It’s something fulfilling and enjoyable, but it’s not that easy; Duckworth calls it “hard fun.”

Here are five steps to help identify your next passion — or cultivate one you already have.

1. Clear out the distractions.

One reason you may not know your passion: you haven’t given yourself the time and space to pursue it. Now, many of the distractions in our lives — picking up kids from daycare, writing a proposal for work, dealing with a burst pipe in the basement — are non-negotiable; they come with being a human in the world.

But what about the negotiable distractions? One major source is right there in your pocket: your phone. “Whether it’s watching frivolous videos or scrolling through social media, there’s enough that you could do those things forever,” says Duckworth. “But it’s time that doesn’t really add up to anything.”

She asks: “How committed are you to not doing that anymore? Reflect on how you’re using your time, and whether or not you want to be distracted by these temptations.”

2. Think of a passion as like an internship.

Most internships serve as a trial run for a job — while you’re acquiring skills and knowledge, you’re also trying to see if you want to commit. “You might figure out you don’t love the field as much as you thought you did,” says Duckworth, “but you find out something else about yourself that is a clue to something that’s a better fit.”

Just like an internship, a passion is something you learn by doing. “You can’t figure things out on paper, or think about them,” says Duckworth. “That’s not how you develop a passion — you have to do things. It takes experience; it takes trial and error.”

To help her children start cultivating passions, Duckworth made them each choose one “hard thing,” such as learning ballet or playing soccer. Because she knows passions don’t develop overnight, she made rules of what they could pick — “it has to entail practice with feedback; they can’t quit in the middle; and they must choose the activity for themselves” — to prevent them from dropping it when they hit a speed bump.

3. Be patient.

Don’t expect to fall in love immediately. “A reason why passions take time to develop is that at the very, very beginning of things, we’re all clumsy and awkward and the learning curve is very steep,” says Duckworth. “Frankly, it’s hard to be in love with something when you’re that clumsy amateur.”

Her daughter Lucy picked the viola as her “hard thing.” But Duckworth says, “It didn’t become her passion in year one or year two. I wouldn’t say she was wildly enthusiastic, but she kept wanting to do it. Now she’s good enough that it can be enjoyable to her in a way that wasn’t possible in the beginning.”

During the learning period, you’ll need to tap into the other aspect of grit: persistence. In keeping with Duckworth’s rules for her kids, just make sure you give yourself a real chance before you move on to another activity. “I’m not saying you should stick with everything you’ve ever tried,” she says. “Use your judgment.”

As you progress with your activity, look out for this sign that you’re nurturing a passion: “You never get bored; in fact, you get more and more interested,” says Duckworth.

4. Stay motivated by remembering the bigger picture.

Every passion has its share of less exciting moments. For playing the viola, it may be practicing scales for the umpteenth time. For baking, it could be washing up; for teaching seventh-grade English, grading papers. The secret to not letting them derail you is to see how every way you engage with your passion — no matter how small or dull — is a step toward something bigger.

“I have to check my email today, read a bunch of research articles, write a revision of an article, and these can be total drudgery if I treat them like isolated tasks that need to get done,” Duckworth says. “But when I understand that they help me become a better scientist and that helps me help children thrive, and when I think, ‘That is the only thing I want my life to be about — to help children live better lives’ — then all of a sudden the emails, articles and revision become meaningful.”

This shift in perspective may seem subtle, but it’s effective in keeping you engaged. “Connecting your short-term work with your long-term ambitions can be enormously helpful to people who feel like they’re losing their drive,” she says.

5. Avoid burnout with this one weird trick.

It is possible to go overboard while pursuing a passion. Are you just not making progress like you want to? Is your passion less fun than it used to be? Duckworth suggests: “The first thing I’d ask is: Are there objective things you can do to just take care of yourself?” Ask yourself if you’re really burning out on your passion or if you just need more sleep.

But if your burnout feels deeper than that, it’s time to step outside your own problems — and look for someone who is similarly frayed and fried. Yes, really.

“It sounds paradoxical that when you’re exhausted, you should use your energy to help another person,” says Duckworth. “But we’re wired to help each other. When we give advice to others, sometimes we’re counseling ourselves in the process. It can draw your own attention to things that you can do. In research, we’ve found that it can boost your confidence and give you the sense that progress is possible.”

Angela Duckworth’s book Grit: The Power of Passion and Perseverance is now out in paperback.

Watch her TED talk here:

The Aussie economy in 2019; it’s not boom but it’s not doom either

By Dr Shane Oliver

Head of Investment Strategy and Economics and Chief Economist, AMP Capital

Investors might be confused about the mixed news coming out late last year for the Australian economy and what it means for returns and rates.

Economic growth has been okay, and unemployment has fallen to five per cent which is quite low by Australian standards. But we’re also seeing ongoing weakness in house prices. Some say house price falls could be worse that those seen during the global financial crisis, and, ultimately, I think they will be.

So what’s going on here?

How we avoided recession

Basically, we’re seeing ‘desynchronisation’ across key sectors in the Australian economy – that is, when one part of the economy weakens, another picks up.

Desynchronisation partly explains why the Australian economy has dodged recession for almost 28 years.

We enjoyed a mining boom. When that came to an end, the mining-exposed parts of the economy, notably Western Australia, suffered. But that enabled lower interest rates and a lower Australian dollar which helped stimulate the economy. The housing market also strengthened and we had a housing boom in Sydney and Melbourne.

A new rotation

The economy is now rotating again, creating another two-speed economy.

On the positive side, we’re getting close to the end of the mining investment slump, which is taking pressure off Western Australia, the Northern Territory and parts of Queensland. We’re also seeing good signs in terms of non-mining investment and export values are doing ok.

But on the negative side, the housing boom is coming to an end and the key drivers for weaker housing returns remain in place:

  • Credit tightening
  • Rising supply in the unit market
  • Reduced foreign buyer demand
  • A lot of investors having to switch from interest-only loans to principle and interest loans.
  • Uncertainty about changes to taxation concessions around negative gearing and capital gains tax should Labor win the upcoming federal election

Also evident is a psychological change in attitudes to the housing market from ‘I’ve got to get in now otherwise I’ll miss out’ – (fear or missing out or FOMO); to ‘if I don’t get out now, I’ll be in trouble’ – (Fear of not getting out or FONGO).

So we’re likely to see more weakness in house prices as we go through 2019, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne where prices could come off another 10 per cent or so, probably more in Melbourne which has lagged a little bit going into this downturn.

That would take top to bottom falls in Sydney and Melbourne to around 20 per cent (10 per cent in 2019). Other parts of Australia will hold up a bit better, with the national average prices having top to bottom fall of around 10 per cent.

That’s going to cause a degree of weakness in terms of consumer spending in Australia because we will get a negative wealth effect flowing through. (When house prices fall, Australians are likely to feel less wealthy and trim consumption). That will also be a bit of a constraint for the banks.

Rate cut risk

When we put all this together, it’s going to mean an ongoing environment where wages growth remains low and inflation remains low, and so we’re unlikely to see the Reserve Bank raise interest rates in 2019.

In fact, the likelihood is that the Reserve Bank ends up cutting interest rates in 2019. If they do that as we expect, it could well be a second half 2019 story because it will take them a while to come around to the view rates need to be cut.

It’s a close call, but we think rates will be cut in 2019 and that there will be no rise.

Avoiding recession

Despite the negatives, when I look at the Australian economy, I don’t see a recession.
There are areas of the economy which are quite strong, and which will keep growth going to counter the other areas which will constrain it.

This year we’re probably looking at overall economic growth of around 2.5 to 3 per cent; we’re looking at unemployment going sideways – it may come down a little bit, but nothing to get excited about; and we’re looking at ongoing weak wages growth and low inflation.

What this means for investors

This outlook above has a number of implications for investors, including:

  • Returns from bank deposits will remain poor,
  • With a rate cut likely in Australia and further rate rises likely in the US, albeit at a slower rate, the Australian dollar is likely to fall into the high $US0.60s,
  • Australian bonds are likely to outperform global bonds,
  • Australian shares will remain great for income, but global shares will deliver better capital growth, and
  • The housing downturn will hit retailers, retail property, banks and building material stocks.

About Tailored Lifetime Solutions:

At Tailored Lifetime Solutions we pride ourselves on staying true to our core values of:

  • Genuine Care
  • Keeping it simple and
  • Providing Security and Peace of Mind.

Tailored Lifetime Solutions has been helping Australians secure their Financial future for over 18 years. We understand each of our clients is unique and as such require tailored financial advice to meet their needs. We work to partner our clients on their financial journey, to ensure financial fitness throughout life’s various stages and secure your future financial security.

With over 70 years of financial planning experience between us, our areas of advice include:

  • Wealth creation
  • Lending and mortgage broking
  • Superannuation advice
  • Self managed superannuation funds
  • Aged Care advice
  • Lifestyle financial planning

Providing quality financial advice in Balwyn and the Eastern Suburbs for almost 20 years.

Important information

This information is general information only and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important to consider your particular circumstances before deciding what’s right for you. Read our Financial Services Guide for information about our services, including the fees and other benefits that AMP companies and their representatives may receive in relation to products and services provided to you.

Although the information is from sources considered reliable, AMP does not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. You should not rely upon it and should seek qualified advice before making any financial decision. Except where liability under any statute cannot be excluded, AMP does not accept any liability (whether under contract, tort or otherwise) for any resulting loss or damage of the reader or any other person.